中国有一个独特的国情:数据在东边,能源在西边。
北京、上海、深圳、杭州贡献了全国65%以上的AI算力需求,但这些地方的土地、电力、散热成本居高不下;而内蒙古、宁夏、贵州、甘肃有充沛的风光水电和凉爽的气候,算力集群建好了却用不满——2024年西部算力枢纽的平均利用率只有30%,大量GPU在机房里空转。
2026年,这个尴尬的局面正在被打破。
东数西算:从建管网到通水
"东数西算"工程启动于2022年,过去四年主要在"建管网"——铺设高速光纤网络、建设八大算力枢纽、打通十大集群。但2026年是拐点:工程正式进入规模化运营阶段,西部算力枢纽利用率从30%一路攀升至65%,翻了一倍还多。
关键推手是两大云厂商的"算力全国调度"服务。阿里云在6月推出"算力南水北调"(内部代号),通过自研的分布式调度引擎,将东部的训练和推理任务智能路由到成本最优的西部节点;腾讯云紧随其后发布"算力一张网",宣称跨区域调度延迟降低40%,带宽成本下降55%。
这意味着什么?一个在杭州的AI创业公司,不需要在贵州租机房、不需要自己搭专线,只要在阿里云控制台点一下"智能调度",训练任务就会自动分配到电价最低、GPU空闲最多的节点——就像你用电不需要知道电来自三峡还是风电一样。
"算力正在像100年前的电力一样,从企业自备发电机的时代,走向公共电网的时代。你不需要建电厂,插插座就行。"
—— 中国信通院《算力基础设施发展白皮书(2026年)》
国产芯片:从能用变好用
算力网络的另一个底层变量是国产芯片。
华为昇腾910C在2026年上半年完成了大规模部署。根据公开数据,昇腾910C在FP16精度下的算力达到320 TFLOPS,相比910B提升60%,显存带宽提升至1.6 TB/s。更关键的是软件栈:CANN算子库已覆盖90%以上的主流AI框架算子,MindSpore和PyTorch的适配成熟度大幅提升,开发者迁移成本显著降低。
在推理场景,国产芯片已经实现了35%的替代率——这不是规划数字,是实际运行的数据。推荐系统、内容审核、语音识别、OCR等标准化推理任务,昇腾和寒武纪的卡已经能稳定胜任。训练场景替代率还在10%左右,但在金融、政务等敏感行业,国产训练集群已经开始承担核心任务。
这不是一个激进的数字,但它意味着国产芯片跨过了"能用"的门槛,进入"好用"的阶段。剩下的差距,会靠规模效应和迭代速度来弥补。
绿色算力和夜间折扣
成本是最锋利的武器。
内蒙古和宁夏的算力枢纽已经实现100%绿电供应——风电、光伏、水电直接供到数据中心,PUE(电源使用效率)降至1.1以下,远超全国1.3的平均水平。绿电不仅是碳中和的故事,它直接意味着更低的电价:西部绿电数据中心的电价可以低至0.28元/度,而东部沿海地区工业电价普遍在0.7-0.9元/度。
更狠的是"夜间算力2折"。为了消化夜间闲置的风电光伏出力(凌晨0点到6点是电网负荷最低的时段,大量新能源电力被浪费),阿里云、腾讯云先后推出"夜间Spot实例",价格仅为白天按需实例的2折。一个7B模型的全量微调,在白天用A100跑大约需要2000元,夜间用昇腾910C跑只需要200-300元。
这恰好呼应了大模型定价两极分化的趋势(参见本期Brief《大模型定价两极分化》):当豆包们把API价格打到白菜价,底层是算力成本在崩塌。对于中小企业和独立开发者来说,这是最好的时代——训练一个专属小模型的成本,已经低于雇一个实习生一个月的工资。
算力平权后的新壁垒
但有一个容易被忽略的问题:算力便宜了,不意味着AI就好做了。
当算力像水电一样即取即用、价格低廉,"能调得起模型"将不再是竞争壁垒。那壁垒是什么?是应用场景,是数据,是对行业的理解。
你可以花200块钱微调一个医疗问答模型,但你有没有高质量的医疗标注数据?你能拿到医院的真实问诊记录吗?你理解临床路径和医保规则吗?这些东西不是算力能解决的。
这也是为什么阿里云和腾讯云在做算力调度的同时,拼命往上层叠行业解决方案——因为他们很清楚,卖算力是管道生意,利润薄如刀片;卖场景解决方案才是真正的生意。美国市场已经在验证这个逻辑:AWS的毛利率在30%左右,而Veeva这种垂直SaaS的毛利率在70%以上。
2026年是中国算力基建的拐点。东数西算从工程走向运营,国产芯片从试点走向规模,绿色算力从PPT走向电价单。但对于AI创业者来说,真正的教训是:不要在算力上建立护城河,因为正在变得像空气一样便宜的东西,守不住。
明天见。
China has a unique national condition: data is in the east; energy is in the west.
Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hangzhou account for over 65% of national AI compute demand, but land, electricity, and cooling costs in these places remain high; while Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Guizhou, and Gansu have abundant wind, solar, and hydro power along with cool climates, built-out compute clusters sit underutilized -- in 2024, average utilization at western compute hubs was only 30%, with massive GPU idle time in datacenters.
In 2026, this awkward situation is being broken.
East Data West Computing: From Laying Pipelines to Flowing Water
The "East Data West Computing" project launched in 2022; the past four years were mainly "building pipelines" -- laying high-speed fiber networks, constructing eight major compute hubs, connecting ten clusters. But 2026 is the inflection point: the project officially enters scaled operations phase, with western compute hub utilization climbing from 30% to 65%, more than doubling.
The key drivers are the two cloud giants' "nationwide compute scheduling" services. Alibaba Cloud launched "Compute South-North Water Diversion" (internal codename) in June, using a self-developed distributed scheduling engine to intelligently route eastern training and inference jobs to the most cost-effective western nodes; Tencent Cloud followed with "One Compute Network," claiming cross-region scheduling latency reduced by 40% and bandwidth costs down 55%.
What does this mean? An AI startup in Hangzhou doesn't need to rent a datacenter in Guizhou or build its own dedicated line; just click "intelligent scheduling" in the Alibaba Cloud console, and training jobs are automatically assigned to nodes with the lowest electricity prices and most idle GPUs -- just like you don't need to know whether your electricity comes from the Three Gorges or wind power.
"Compute is becoming like electricity 100 years ago -- moving from the era of enterprise-owned generators to the era of the public grid. You don't need to build a power plant; just plug into a socket."
-- CAICT 'Compute Infrastructure Development White Paper (2026)'
Domestic Chips: From Usable to Useful
Another underlying variable in the compute network is domestic chips.
Huawei Ascend 910C completed large-scale deployment in H1 2026. According to public data, Ascend 910C achieves 320 TFLOPS at FP16 precision, a 60% improvement over 910B; memory bandwidth raised to 1.6 TB/s. More critically, the software stack: the CANN operator library now covers over 90% of mainstream AI framework operators, MindSpore and PyTorch adaptation maturity has improved substantially, and developer migration costs are significantly lower.
In inference scenarios, domestic chips have achieved 35% substitution rate -- this isn't a planned figure; it's real operational data. Ascend and Cambricon chips can stably handle standardized inference tasks like recommendation systems, content moderation, speech recognition, and OCR. Training scenario substitution is still around 10%, but in sensitive industries like finance and government, domestic training clusters have begun shouldering core tasks.
This isn't an aggressive number, but it means domestic chips have crossed the "usable" threshold into the "useful" phase. The remaining gap will be closed through scale effects and iteration speed.
Green Compute and Night Discounts
Cost is the sharpest weapon.
Compute hubs in Inner Mongolia and Ningxia have achieved 100% green power supply -- wind, solar, and hydro feeding directly into data centers, with PUE (Power Usage Effectiveness) dropping below 1.1, far exceeding the national average of 1.3. Green power isn't just a carbon neutrality story; it directly means lower electricity prices: western green-powered data center electricity can be as low as 0.28 RMB/kWh, while eastern coastal industrial electricity generally runs 0.7-0.9 RMB/kWh.
Even more aggressive is the "night compute 80% off." To absorb idle overnight wind and solar output (midnight to 6 AM is the lowest grid load period, with large amounts of new energy power wasted), Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud successively launched "Nighttime Spot Instances" priced at just 20% of daytime on-demand instances. A full fine-tune of a 7B model that costs roughly 2,000 RMB running on A100 during the day costs only 200-300 RMB running on Ascend 910C at night.
This echoes the LLM pricing polarization trend (see this issue's Brief "LLM Pricing Polarization"): when Doubao and others slash API prices to commodity levels, the foundation is collapsing compute costs. For SMEs and independent developers, this is the best of times -- training a custom small model costs less than hiring an intern for a month.
New Moats After Compute Equality
But one easily overlooked issue: cheap compute doesn't mean AI becomes easy.
When compute is as on-demand and cheap as water and electricity, "being able to afford model training" ceases to be a competitive moat. Then what is the moat? Application scenarios, data, and industry understanding.
You can fine-tune a medical Q&A model for 200 RMB, but do you have high-quality medical labeled data? Can you get real hospital consultation records? Do you understand clinical pathways and medical insurance rules? These are things compute can't solve.
This is also why Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud, while doing compute scheduling, are furiously stacking industry solutions on top -- they know full well that selling compute is a pipeline business with razor-thin margins; selling scenario solutions is where real business lives. The U.S. market is already validating this logic: AWS gross margins are around 30%, while vertical SaaS like Veeva has gross margins above 70%.
2026 is the inflection point for China's compute infrastructure. East Data West Computing moves from construction to operation; domestic chips move from pilot to scale; green compute moves from PPT to electricity bills. But for AI founders, the real lesson is: don't build a moat on compute, because something becoming as cheap as air can't be defended.
See you tomorrow.
East Data West Computing project progress, domestic AI chip substitution rate, green data center costs
Sources · 信源 Sources
- 中国信通院 - 《算力基础设施发展白皮书(2026年)》
- 国家发改委 - 东数西算工程2026年进展通报
- 华为全联接大会2026 - 昇腾910C大规模部署数据
- 阿里云/腾讯云 - 算力全国调度服务发布公告
本文基于 Dawn Vision 认知引擎处理的 5 个源信号生成,经编辑部人工审核。
Generated by Dawn Vision's cognitive engine from 5 source signals, editorially reviewed.