具身智能

宇树发行价150.8元今日申购
609.9亿市值与219倍PE齐飞

Unitree RMB150.8 Offer, Subscribing Today
RMB 60.99B Valuation at 219x P/E

宇树科技今日科创板申购:发行价150.80元,发行市值609.93亿元,219倍PE。毛利率60%但增速放缓,人形机器人第一股迎来真金白银的定价时刻。

Unitree opens its STAR Market subscription today: RMB 150.80 offer price, RMB 60.993B market cap, 219x P/E. 60% gross margin but slowing growth — the 'first humanoid stock' meets its real-money pricing moment.

No.032 2026.08.10 约 5 分钟阅读 ~5 min read

150.80元,219倍市盈率,609.93亿市值。今天,这三个数字同时接受市场的检验。

8月6日晚间,宇树科技(688836.SH)披露科创板上市发行公告,确定首次公开发行价格为150.80元/股,今日(8月10日)正式启动网上、网下申购,缴款日为8月12日。按此价格计算,公司发行市值约609.93亿元,募资约60.99亿元,发行市盈率约219倍

从7月30日一纸公告揭开悬念,到初步询价、今日申购——A股"人形机器人第一股",终于走到真金白银的定价时刻。

硬核财报与放缓的增速

宇树的底子确实硬。毛利率高达60.13%,人形机器人收入占比升至51.78%——在普遍还在"画饼"的具身智能行业里,这是少数把机器人卖成主营收入的公司。

但把数据摊开看,另一面同样清楚:2026年上半年营收预计10.52亿至11.28亿元,同比增长35.62%至45.41%。这个增速在A股依然亮眼,但与2025年全年约33%的高基数增长相比,增长曲线已经明显放缓。人形机器人从"概念爆炒"进入"交付爬坡"阶段后,订单兑现的速度,决定了估值故事还能讲多久。

更值得对照的是海外的参照系。特斯拉Optimus V3正在加速量产,马斯克直言这次量产爬坡是"特斯拉史上最难",但也是"公司有史以来规模最大的产品"。一边是马斯克为量产叫苦,一边是A股为第一股给出219倍PE——人形机器人的价值共识已经形成,但量产地狱才刚刚开始。

219倍PE:是定价泡沫,还是赛道溢价

219倍的发行市盈率放在A股绝对不低。支持者会说,这是稀缺标的溢价——人形机器人第一股,没有可比公司,估值锚定的是赛道而不是当期利润;反对者会说,科创板破发潮还没走远,高PE首发并不等于高PE终局。

从询价到申购的节奏看,市场给出的答案偏乐观:初步询价充分,发行价落在区间高位,网上申购大概率触发高倍数配售。二级市场的情绪,往往把"第一股"三个字换算成实打实的流动性溢价。

真正的变量在上市之后。宇树的估值故事取决于三件事:人形机器人的规模化交付能否兑现、具身智能大模型的迭代能否持续拉开差距、以及海外巨头(特斯拉、英伟达生态)的竞争是否会挤压国产厂商的定价权。219倍PE是赛道给的第一份信任,交付才是续约的凭据。

对一级市场而言,宇树的上市是具身智能板块的标志性事件——它把"人形机器人"从一个叙事,变成了一个可以交易、可以定价、可以检验的资产类别。对普通投资者而言,则需要记住另一句话:第一股的热闹,从来不等同于第一股的收益。

明天见。

RMB 150.80. A 219x P/E. A RMB 60.993 billion market cap. Today, all three numbers face the market's judgment.

On the evening of August 6, Unitree (688836.SH) filed its STAR Market offering announcement, setting the IPO price at RMB 150.80 per share. Today (August 10), online and offline subscription officially opens; payment is due August 12. At this price, the company's issue-market capitalization is about RMB 60.993 billion, raising roughly RMB 6.099 billion at a P/E of about 219x.

From the July 30 announcement that lifted the suspense, to the preliminary inquiry, to today's subscription — A-shares' "first humanoid robot stock" has finally reached its real-money pricing moment.

Hard Numbers, and a Decelerating Curve

Unitree's fundamentals are genuinely strong. Gross margin sits at 60.13%, and humanoid robots now account for 51.78% of revenue — in an embodied-AI industry still mostly selling slide decks, this is one of the few companies selling robots as its main business.

But lay the numbers flat and the other side is equally clear: H1 2026 revenue is projected at RMB 1.052–1.128 billion, up 35.62%–45.41% year over year. Impressive by A-share standards — yet compared to 2025's high base, the growth curve has visibly decelerated. Once humanoids move from "concept frenzy" to "delivery ramp," how quickly orders convert will decide how long the valuation story lasts.

The overseas reference point is worth holding up. Tesla's Optimus V3 is accelerating mass production, and Musk calls the ramp "the hardest thing Tesla has ever done" but also "the biggest product in company history." One founder complaining about production hell, another market handing the first stock a 219x P/E — the consensus on humanoid value has formed; the production hell is just beginning.

219x P/E: Bubble Pricing, or Sector Premium

A 219x issue P/E is far from cheap by A-share standards. Bulls call it a scarcity premium — the first humanoid stock, no comparables, anchored to the track rather than current earnings. Bears note that STAR Market's IPO-busting wave hasn't fully faded; a hot IPO price isn't a hot terminal price.

Judging by the rhythm from inquiry to subscription, the market leans optimistic: the inquiry was well covered, the offer price sits at the high end of the range, and online subscription will likely trigger heavy oversubscription multiples. Secondary-market sentiment routinely converts the words "first stock" into real liquidity premium.

The real variables come after listing. Unitree's valuation story hinges on three things: whether humanoid mass delivery materializes, whether embodied-AI foundation model iteration keeps widening the gap, and whether overseas giants (Tesla, the NVIDIA ecosystem) squeeze domestic pricing power. 219x is the track's first vote of trust; delivery is the renewal contract.

For the private market, Unitree's listing is a landmark for the embodied-AI sector — it turns "humanoid robots" from a narrative into a tradeable, pricable, testable asset class. For ordinary investors, one line is worth remembering: the excitement of a first stock is never the same as the returns of a first stock.

See you tomorrow.

人形机器人的价值共识已经形成,但量产地狱才刚刚开始。

—— Dawn Vision 判断

The consensus on humanoid value has formed; the production hell is just beginning.

— Dawn Vision analysis
具身智能 · 宇树科技 · 科创板IPO · 人形机器人第一股 · 150.8元 · 609.9亿市值 · 219倍PE · 增速放缓 · 量产
Embodied AI · Unitree · STAR Market IPO · First Humanoid Stock · RMB 150.80 · RMB 60.99B Cap · 219x P/E · Slowing Growth · Mass Production
Sources · 信源 Sources

本文基于 Dawn Vision 认知引擎处理的公开信息整理,素材来源:宇树科技发行公告、澎湃新闻、财经报道。

This article is based on public information processed by Dawn Vision. Sources: Unitree offering announcement, The Paper, financial reports.