大部分代码。是Claude写的。
8月17日,Anthropic发布了第二份《负责任扩展政策》风险报告。在这份报告里,他们轻描淡写地提了一句:Claude目前已经编写了Anthropic自身生产代码库中"大部分被合并的代码"。
没有开发布会,没有写博客大肆宣传,甚至没有在社交媒体上造势——就这么安静地放在一份风险报告的某个段落里。但这句话的分量,可能比今年任何一个AI编程产品发布都要重。
AI自举的临界点到了
先弄清楚"大部分被合并的代码"是什么意思。
不是"辅助写代码",不是"补全代码片段",不是"生成草稿人类改"——是被合并到生产代码库里的代码,大部分是Claude写的。这些代码跑在Anthropic自己的产品上,服务着数百万用户,处理着真实的流量和请求。
这意味着什么?意味着AI编程工具已经跨过了一个关键的临界点:从"辅助工具"变成了"主要贡献者"。
过去两年我们一直在讨论AI能写多少代码、AI能不能替代程序员,但讨论的框架始终是"人类主导,AI辅助"——程序员是驾驶员,AI是副驾驶帮忙踩油门。现在Anthropic告诉你:在他们自己的团队里,AI已经是主要驾驶员了,人类更像是坐在副驾驶做监督和审核。
"以前是人类写代码训练AI,现在是AI写代码改进AI。这个闭环一旦转起来,速度只会越来越快。"—— 一位AI编程工具创业者
更有意思的是报告里的另一句话:Anthropic表示AI已显著加速其内部研究和工程工作,同时其旧有的基于任务的评估体系开始出现饱和迹象。
"评估体系开始饱和"——这句话翻译成人话就是:我们用来衡量AI能力的那些考试和基准,已经跟不上AI进化的速度了。当AI自己在写代码改进自己的时候,它的进步是连续的、实时的、非线性的,而不是像以前那样"发一个新版本升一次级"。
软件工程师的角色正在重写
Anthropic不是第一个让AI写自己代码的公司。
过去几个月,我们已经看到了太多类似的信号:Cursor团队说他们大部分新功能是用Cursor写的;Midjourney团队说他们的渲染引擎大部分是AI生成的;很多创业公司已经是"1个工程师+10个AI Agent"的配置。但Anthropic是第一家正式对外承认"生产代码库里大部分代码是AI写的"的头部大模型公司。
这件事对整个行业的心理冲击是巨大的。如果连Anthropic——全世界最顶尖的AI公司之一,拥有最顶尖的AI研究和工程团队——都在大规模用AI写生产代码,那其他公司还有什么理由不跟上?
这当然不意味着程序员要失业了。但程序员的角色确实在发生根本性的变化:从"写代码的人"变成"审核代码、架构设计、需求定义、质量把关的人"。就像编译器发明之后,程序员不再需要手写汇编;高级语言发明之后,程序员不再需要管理内存;AI写代码普及之后,程序员不再需要逐行实现功能——但系统思维、架构能力、产品判断,这些能力反而变得更重要了。
AI写AI的循环已经启动了。Claude写出来的代码让Claude变得更强,更强的Claude能写出更好的代码——这个正反馈循环的尽头是什么?没有人知道。但有一点是确定的:软件这个行业,再也回不到过去了。
明天见。
Most of the code. Written by Claude.
On August 17, Anthropic released its second Responsible Scaling Policy risk report. Buried in the report, they mentioned almost in passing: Claude now writes "most merged code" in Anthropic's own production codebase.
No launch event, no blog post blitz, not even a social media fanfare—it sat quietly in a paragraph of a risk report. But the weight of that sentence may be heavier than any AI coding product launch this year.
The Bootstrapping Tipping Point Is Here
First, let's clarify what "most merged code" means.
This isn't "assisting with coding" or "completing snippets" or "generating drafts that humans edit"—it's that most code merged into the production repository is written by Claude. This code runs in Anthropic's own products, serves millions of users, and handles real traffic and requests.
What does that mean? It means AI coding tools have crossed a critical threshold: from "assistant tool" to "primary contributor".
For two years we've debated how much code AI can write and whether it can replace programmers, but the framework was always "human-led, AI-assisted"—the programmer was the driver, AI was the co-pilot hitting the gas. Now Anthropic is telling you: on their own team, AI is already the primary driver, and humans are more like the co-pilot doing supervision and review.
"Humans used to write code to train AI. Now AI writes code to improve AI. Once this loop spins up, it only accelerates." — An AI Coding Tool Founder
Even more interesting is another line in the report: Anthropic noted that AI has significantly accelerated internal research and engineering, while its old task-based evaluation systems are beginning to show signs of saturation.
"Evaluation systems saturating"—translated into plain English: the tests and benchmarks we use to measure AI capability can't keep up with the speed of AI evolution anymore. When AI is writing code to improve itself, its progress is continuous, real-time, and non-linear—not "ship a new version, get an upgrade" like before.
The Role of Software Engineers Is Being Rewritten
Anthropic isn't the first company to have AI write its own code.
Over the past few months, we've seen signal after signal: the Cursor team says most new features are built using Cursor; the Midjourney team says their rendering engine is mostly AI-generated; many startups already run on a "1 engineer + 10 AI agents" configuration. But Anthropic is the first top-tier foundation model company to formally acknowledge that "most code in our production codebase is written by AI."
The psychological impact of this on the entire industry is enormous. If even Anthropic—one of the world's top AI companies with top-tier AI research and engineering teams—is using AI to write production code at scale, what excuse does any other company have not to follow?
That doesn't mean programmers are going extinct. But the role of programmers is fundamentally shifting: from "people who write code" to "people who review code, design architecture, define requirements, and enforce quality." Just as compilers meant programmers no longer wrote assembly by hand, just as high-level languages meant programmers no longer managed memory manually, the rise of AI coding means programmers no longer need to implement functionality line by line—but systems thinking, architectural ability, and product judgment become more important than ever.
The-AI-writing-AI loop has started. Code written by Claude makes Claude stronger; a stronger Claude writes better code. Where does this positive feedback loop end? Nobody knows. But one thing is certain: the software industry will never go back.
See you tomorrow.
以前是人类写代码训练AI,现在是AI写代码改进AI。这个闭环一旦转起来,速度只会越来越快。
—— 一位AI编程工具创业者
Humans used to write code to train AI. Now AI writes code to improve AI. Once this loop spins up, it only accelerates.
— An AI Coding Tool Founder
Sources · 信源 Sources
本文基于 Dawn Vision 认知引擎处理的 5 个源信号生成,经编辑部人工审核。素材来源:InfoQ。
Generated by the Dawn Vision cognitive engine processing 5 source signals, with human editorial review. Source: InfoQ.